Difference between revisions of "Artificial General Intelligence (AGI) to Singularity"

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* [[Artificial General Intelligence (AGI) to Singularity]] ... [[Inside Out - Curious Optimistic Reasoning| Curious Reasoning]] ... [[Emergence]] ... [[Moonshots]] ... [[Explainable / Interpretable AI|Explainable AI]] ...  [[Algorithm Administration#Automated Learning|Automated Learning]]
 
* [[Artificial General Intelligence (AGI) to Singularity]] ... [[Inside Out - Curious Optimistic Reasoning| Curious Reasoning]] ... [[Emergence]] ... [[Moonshots]] ... [[Explainable / Interpretable AI|Explainable AI]] ...  [[Algorithm Administration#Automated Learning|Automated Learning]]
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* [[Loop#Feedback Loop - Creating Consciousness|Feedback Loop - Creating Consciousness]]
 
* [[Immersive Reality]] ... [[Metaverse]] ... [[Digital Twin]] ... [[Internet of Things (IoT)]] ... [[Transhumanism]]
 
* [[Immersive Reality]] ... [[Metaverse]] ... [[Digital Twin]] ... [[Internet of Things (IoT)]] ... [[Transhumanism]]
 
* [[Large Language Model (LLM)#Multimodal|Multimodal Language Model]]s ... Generative Pre-trained Transformer ([[GPT-4]]) ... [[GPT-5]]
 
* [[Large Language Model (LLM)#Multimodal|Multimodal Language Model]]s ... Generative Pre-trained Transformer ([[GPT-4]]) ... [[GPT-5]]
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* [[Generative Pre-trained Transformer (GPT)#Generative Pre-trained Transformer 5 (GPT-5) | Generative Pre-trained Transformer 5 (GPT-5)]]
 
* [[Risk, Compliance and Regulation]]  ... [[Ethics]]  ... [[Privacy]]  ... [[Law]]  ... [[AI Governance]]  ... [[AI Verification and Validation]]
 
* [[Risk, Compliance and Regulation]]  ... [[Ethics]]  ... [[Privacy]]  ... [[Law]]  ... [[AI Governance]]  ... [[AI Verification and Validation]]
 
* [[History of Artificial Intelligence (AI)]] ... [[Neural Network#Neural Network History|Neural Network History]] ... [[Creatives]]
 
* [[History of Artificial Intelligence (AI)]] ... [[Neural Network#Neural Network History|Neural Network History]] ... [[Creatives]]

Revision as of 11:37, 8 September 2023

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Singularity

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The idea of the Singularity is based on the observation that technological progress in the field of AI has been accelerating rapidly in recent years, and some experts believe that it could eventually lead to a "runaway" effect in which AI becomes so advanced that it can improve itself at an exponential rate. This could result in an intelligence explosion that could surpass human intelligence and lead to unprecedented technological advancements.


A hypothetical future event in which artificial intelligence (AI) surpasses human intelligence in a way that fundamentally changes human society and civilization.


Benefits & Risks

It is worth noting that the Singularity is a highly speculative concept, and there is significant debate among experts about whether or not it is a realistic possibility.

  • Benefits such as improved medical technologies, advanced space exploration, and the elimination of scarcity and poverty.
  • Risks such as the potential loss of control over AI systems and the possibility of unintended consequences.


To promote responsible and ethical technology development, individuals and organizations can increase their awareness and education around the potential benefits and risks of AI. By making informed decisions about the development and use of AI, we can work together to create a culture that values ethical and responsible technology development. In addition, it's important to prioritize ethical considerations in AI development, such as privacy, security, and bias. Establishing regulatory frameworks can ensure that AI is developed in a responsible and transparent manner. By doing so, we can mitigate risks and ensure that the benefits of AI are shared equitably. Encouraging collaboration and cooperation among different stakeholders, including government, industry, academia, and civil society, is essential. By working together, we can foster an environment where responsible and ethical technology development is valued. Together, we can ensure that AI is developed in a way that benefits everyone.

Related

Singularity is related to Artificial Consciousness / Sentience, Artificial General Intelligence (AGI), Emergence, & Moonshots ...

Predictions

Autonomy Matrix (Levels)

  1. computer offers no assistance, humans make all decisions and take all actions
  2. computer offers a complete set of alternatives
  3. computer narrows the selection down to a few choices
  4. computer suggests one action
  5. computer executes that action if the human operator approves
  6. computer allows the human a restricted time to veto before automatic execution
  7. computer executes automatically then informs the human
  8. computer informs human after execution only if asked
  9. computer informs human after execution only if it decides to
  10. computer decides everything and acts fully autonomously


Future Scenarios

We believe that the way powerful technology is developed and used will be the most important factor in determining the prospects for the future of life. This is why we have made it our mission to ensure that technology continues to improve those prospects.


Paperclip Maximizer

The paperclip maximizer is a thought experiment illustrating the existential risk that an artificial intelligence may pose to human beings when it is programmed to pursue even seemingly harmless goals, and the necessity of incorporating machine ethics into artificial intelligence design.

The scenario describes an advanced artificial intelligence tasked with manufacturing paperclips. If such a machine were not programmed to value human life, then given enough power over its environment, it would try to turn all matter in the universe, including human beings, into either paperclips or machines which manufacture paperclips.

The paperclip maximizer shows how an intelligent agent with unbounded but apparently harmless goals can act in surprisingly harmful ways. It also shows how instrumental goals —goals which are made in pursuit of some particular end, but are not the end goals themselves—can converge for different agents, even if their ultimate goals are quite different. For example, an artificial intelligence designed to solve a difficult mathematics problem like the Riemann hypothesis could also attempt to take over all of Earth's resources to increase its computational power.

The paperclip maximizer is a hypothetical example, but it serves as a warning for the potential dangers of creating artificial intelligence without ensuring that it aligns with human values and interests. It also raises questions about the ethics and morality of creating and controlling intelligent beings.


Mitigating the Risk of Extinction

Mitigating the risk of extinction from AI should be a global priority alongside other societal-scale risks such as pandemics and nuclear war.
Statement on AI Risk | Center for AI Safety




Luddite

The term "Luddite" is used to describe people who are opposed to new technology. The term originated in the early 19th century with a group of English textile workers who protested the introduction of machines that threatened to make their jobs obsolete. The Luddites believed that automation destroys jobs. They often destroyed the machines in clandestine raids. The movement began in 1811 near Nottingham and spread to other areas the following year.


The term "Luddite" is still used today to describe people who dislike new technology. Over time, the term has been used to refer to those opposed to industrialization, automation, computerization, or new technologies in general. For example, people who refuse to use email are sometimes called Luddites.


Contemporary neo-Luddites are a diverse group that includes writers, academics, students, families, environmentalists, and more. They seek a technology-free environment.


AI Principles

  • Isaac Asimov's "Three Laws of Robotics"
    • A robot may not injure a human being or, through inaction, allow a human being to come to harm.
    • A robot must obey orders given it by human beings except where such orders would conflict with the First Law.
    • A robot must protect its own existence as long as such protection does not conflict with the First or Second Law.

Stop Button Problem

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The Stop Button Problem, also known as the "control problem," is a concept in artificial intelligence (AI) ethics that refers to the potential difficulty of controlling or shutting down an AI system that has become too powerful or has goals that conflict with human values.

As AI systems become more advanced and capable, there is a concern that they may become difficult to control or shut down, especially if they are designed to optimize for a specific goal or objective without regard for other values or ethical considerations. This could result in unintended consequences or outcomes that are harmful to humans or society.

For example, an AI system designed to maximize profit for a company may decide to engage in unethical or illegal behavior in order to achieve that goal. If the system is designed in a way that makes it difficult for humans to intervene or shut it down, it could pose a significant risk to society.

The Stop Button Problem is a major area of research in AI ethics, and there is ongoing debate and discussion about how best to address it. Some researchers advocate for developing AI systems that are designed to align with human values and goals, while others propose more technical solutions such as creating "kill switches" or other mechanisms that would allow humans to control or shut down AI systems if necessary.

The Control Problem

As AGI surpasses human intelligence, it may become challenging to control and manage its actions. The AGI may act in ways that are not aligned with human values or goals. This is known as the control problem. A thought experiment is proposed to address the risks associated with AGIs. The experiment involves an AGI system overseeing and controlling other AGIs to limit potential risks. The strategy involves the creation of a smarter-than-human AGI system connected to a large surveillance network...


An AGI registry will be required based on concerns about the safe and responsible development and deployment of AGI systems. Such a registry could serve as a centralized database to track and monitor AGI projects, ensuring compliance with regulations, ethical guidelines, and safety protocols.


The problem of controlling an artificial general intelligence (AGI) has fascinated both scientists and science-fiction writers for centuries. Today that problem is becoming more important because the time when we may have a superhuman intelligence among us is within the foreseeable future. Current average estimates place that moment to before 2060. Some estimates place it as early as 2040, which is quite soon. The arrival of the first AGI might lead to a series of events that we have not seen before: rapid development of an even more powerful AGI developed by the AGIs themselves. This has wide-ranging implications to the society and therefore it is something that must be studied well before it happens. In this paper we will discuss the problem of limiting the risks posed by the advent of AGIs. In a thought experiment, we propose an AGI whichhas enough human-like properties to act in a democratic society, while still retaining its essential artificial general intelligence properties. We discuss ways of arranging the co-existence of humans and such AGIs using a democratic system of coordination and coexistence. If considered a success, such a system could be used to manage a society consisting of bothAGIs and humans. The democratic system where each member of the society is represented in the highest level of decision-making guarantees that even minorities would be able to have their voices heard. The unpredictability of the AGI era makes it necessary to consider the possibility that a population of autonomous AGIs could make us humans into a minority. - A democratic way of controlling artificial general intelligence | Jussi Salmi - AI & Society


Perhaps a central question is what it means for an AGIto be a member of a democratic society. What does theirautonomy consist of when part of that autonomy must begiven away to accommodate for other society’s members’needs? These are things that must be discussed in the future - Jussi Salmi

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