Difference between revisions of "Forecasting"
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* [http://towardsdatascience.com/stationarity-in-time-series-analysis-90c94f27322#:~:text=In%20the%20most%20intuitive%20sense,not%20itself%20change%20over%20time. Stationarity in time series analysis | Shay Palachy - Towards Data Science] | * [http://towardsdatascience.com/stationarity-in-time-series-analysis-90c94f27322#:~:text=In%20the%20most%20intuitive%20sense,not%20itself%20change%20over%20time. Stationarity in time series analysis | Shay Palachy - Towards Data Science] | ||
* [http://www.youtube.com/ | * [http://www.youtube.com/ | ||
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| + | <b>OpML '20 - Scalable AutoML for Time Series Forecasting using Ray | ||
| + | </b><br>Shengsheng Huang and Jason Dai, [[Intel]] Time Series Forecasting is widely used in real world applications, such as network quality analysis in Telcos, log analysis for data center operations, predictive maintenance for high-value equipment, and etc. Recently there's a trend to apply machine learning and deep learning methods to such problems, and there's evidence that they can outperform traditional methods (such as autoregression and exponential smoothing) in several well-known competitions and real-world use cases. However, building the machine learning applications for time series forecasting can be a laborious and knowledge-intensive process. In order to provide an easy-to-use time series forecasting toolkit, we have applied Automated Machine Learning (AutoML) to time series forecasting. The toolkit is built on top of Ray (a distributed framework for emerging AI applications open-sourced by UC Berkeley RISELab), so as to automate the process of feature generation and selection, model selection and hyper-parameter tuning in a distributed fashion. In this talk we will share how we build the AutoML toolkit for time series forecasting, as well as real-world experience and take aways from earlier users. | ||
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| + | <b>Timeseries Modelling using AutoML | ||
| + | </b><br>A time series is simply a series of data points ordered in time. There are plenty of use cases of time series data like sales forecasting, inventory planing, staffing, preventive maintenance, IOT sensors. By using data historical data, businesses can understand trends, make a call on what might happen | ||
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= <span id="Time Series Forecasting - Statistical"></span>Time Series Forecasting - Statistical = | = <span id="Time Series Forecasting - Statistical"></span>Time Series Forecasting - Statistical = | ||
Revision as of 08:47, 13 September 2020
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Contents
- 1 Time Series Forecasting
- 2 Time Series AutoML
- 3 Time Series Forecasting - Statistical
- 3.1 Autoregression (AR)
- 3.2 Moving Average (MA)
- 3.3 Autoregressive Moving Average (ARMA)
- 3.4 Autoregressive Integrated Moving Average (ARIMA)
- 3.5 Seasonal Autoregressive Integrated Moving-Average (SARIMA)
- 3.6 Seasonal Autoregressive Integrated Moving-Average with Exogenous Regressors (SARIMAX)
- 3.7 Vector Autoregression (VAR)
- 3.8 Volume Weighted Moving Average (VWMA)
- 3.9 Vector Autoregression Moving-Average (VARMA)
- 3.10 Vector Autoregression Moving-Average with Exogenous Regressors (VARMAX)
- 4 Smoothing
- 5 Time Series Forecasting - Deep Learning
- 6 Demand Forecasting
Time Series Forecasting
- How to Tune LSTM Hyperparameters with Keras for Time Series Forecasting | Matt Dancho
- How (not) to use Machine Learning for time series forecasting: Avoiding the pitfalls | Vegard Flovik KDnuggeets
- How (not) to use Machine Learning for time series forecasting: Avoiding the pitfalls | Vegard Flovik - KDnuggets
- Time Series Prediction - 8 Techniques | Siraj Raval
- Amazon Forecast | AWS
- 7 Ways Time-Series Forecasting Differs from Machine Learning | Roman Josue de las Heras Torres
- Finding Patterns and Outcomes in Time Series Data - Hands-On with Python | ViralML.com
- Applying Statistical Modeling and Machine Learning to Perform Time-Series Forecasting | Tamara Louie
- Stationarity in time series analysis | Shay Palachy - Towards Data Science
- [http://www.youtube.com/
Time Series AutoML
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Time Series Forecasting - Statistical
Classical time series forecasting methods may be focused on linear relationships, nevertheless, they are sophisticated and perform well on a wide range of problems, assuming that your data is suitably prepared and the method is well configured. 11 Classical Time Series Forecasting Methods in Python (Cheat Sheet) | Jason Brownlee - Machine Learning Mastery
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Autoregression (AR)
YouTube search... ...Google search
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Moving Average (MA)
YouTube search... ...Google search
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Autoregressive Moving Average (ARMA)
YouTube search... ...Google search
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Autoregressive Integrated Moving Average (ARIMA)
YouTube search... ...Google search
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Seasonal Autoregressive Integrated Moving-Average (SARIMA)
YouTube search... ...Google search
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Seasonal Autoregressive Integrated Moving-Average with Exogenous Regressors (SARIMAX)
YouTube search... ...Google search
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Vector Autoregression (VAR)
YouTube search... ...Google search
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Volume Weighted Moving Average (VWMA)
YouTube search... ...Google search
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Vector Autoregression Moving-Average (VARMA)
YouTube search... ...Google search
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Vector Autoregression Moving-Average with Exogenous Regressors (VARMAX)
YouTube search... ...Google search
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Smoothing
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Simple Exponential Smoothing (SES)
YouTube search... ...Google search
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Holt's Exponential Smoothing
YouTube search... ...Google search
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Winter's (Holt-Winter's) Exponential Smoothing (HWES)
YouTube search... ...Google search
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Time Series Forecasting - Deep Learning
Applying deep learning methods like Multilayer Neural Networks and Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) Recurrent Neural Network models to time series forecasting problems.| Jason Brownlee - Machine Learning Mastery
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Demand Forecasting
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