Difference between revisions of "Forecasting"
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* [http://www.kdnuggets.com/2019/05/machine-learning-time-series-forecasting.html How (not) to use Machine Learning for time series forecasting: Avoiding the pitfalls | Vegard Flovik - KDnuggets] | * [http://www.kdnuggets.com/2019/05/machine-learning-time-series-forecasting.html How (not) to use Machine Learning for time series forecasting: Avoiding the pitfalls | Vegard Flovik - KDnuggets] | ||
* [http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=d4Sn6ny_5LI Time Series Prediction - 8 Techniques | Siraj Raval] | * [http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=d4Sn6ny_5LI Time Series Prediction - 8 Techniques | Siraj Raval] | ||
| + | * [http://aws.amazon.com/forecast/ Amazon Forecast | AWS] | ||
| + | * [http://www.datascience.com/blog/time-series-forecasting-machine-learning-differences 7 Ways Time-Series Forecasting Differs from Machine Learning | Roman Josue de las Heras Torres] | ||
| + | * [http://www.viralml.com/video-content.html?fm=yt&v=zBVQvVCZPCM Finding Patterns and Outcomes in Time Series Data - Hands-On with Python | ViralML.com] | ||
| + | * [http://www.slideshare.net/PyData/applying-statistical-modeling-and-machine-learning-to-perform-timeseries-forecasting Applying Statistical Modeling and Machine Learning to Perform Time-Series Forecasting | Tamara Louie] | ||
| + | * [http://towardsdatascience.com/stationarity-in-time-series-analysis-90c94f27322#:~:text=In%20the%20most%20intuitive%20sense,not%20itself%20change%20over%20time. Stationarity in time series analysis | Shay Palachy - Towards Data Science] | ||
| + | * [http://www.youtube.com/ | ||
| + | |||
| + | = <span id="Time Series Forecasting - Statistical"></span>Time Series Forecasting - Statistical = | ||
| + | Classical time series forecasting methods may be focused on linear relationships, nevertheless, they are sophisticated and perform well on a wide range of problems, assuming that your data is suitably prepared and the method is well configured. [http://machinelearningmastery.com/time-series-forecasting-methods-in-python-cheat-sheet/ 11 Classical Time Series Forecasting Methods in Python (Cheat Sheet) | Jason Brownlee - Machine Learning Mastery ] | ||
| + | |||
| + | <youtube>v5ijNXvlC5A</youtube> | ||
| + | <youtube>YzMV--KhI2I</youtube> | ||
| + | <youtube>1BxeY1Q8Akw</youtube> | ||
| + | <youtube>LHYUJ9CreN0</youtube> | ||
| + | <youtube>JntA9XaTebs</youtube> | ||
| + | <youtube>FPM6it4v8MY</youtube> | ||
| + | |||
| + | === Autoregression (AR) === | ||
| + | [http://www.youtube.com/results?search_query=Autoregression+AR+Time+Series+forecasting YouTube search...] | ||
| + | [http://www.google.com/search?q=Autoregression+Time+Series+forecasting+Statistical+machine+learning+ML+artificial+intelligence ...Google search] | ||
| + | |||
| + | <youtube>3VzRe9x1Z4E</youtube> | ||
| + | <youtube>4O9Rkzm8Q5U</youtube> | ||
| + | |||
| + | === Moving Average (MA) === | ||
| + | [http://www.youtube.com/results?search_query=Moving+Average+MA+Time+Series+forecasting YouTube search...] | ||
| + | [http://www.google.com/search?q=Moving+Average+MA+Time+Series+forecasting+Statistical+machine+learning+ML+artificial+intelligence ...Google search] | ||
| + | |||
| + | <youtube>mC1ARrtkObc</youtube> | ||
| + | <youtube>kHBLIkADpK0</youtube> | ||
| + | |||
| + | === Autoregressive Moving Average (ARMA) === | ||
| + | [http://www.youtube.com/results?search_query=Autoregressive+Moving+Average+ARMA+Time+Series+forecasting YouTube search...] | ||
| + | [http://www.google.com/search?q=Autoregressive+Moving+Average+ARMA+Time+Series+forecasting+Statistical+machine+learning+ML+artificial+intelligence ...Google search] | ||
| + | |||
| + | <youtube>bs9fKzuUXtY</youtube> | ||
| + | <youtube>HhvTlaN06AM</youtube> | ||
| + | |||
| + | === Autoregressive Integrated Moving Average (ARIMA) === | ||
| + | [http://www.youtube.com/results?search_query=Autoregressive+Integrated+Moving+Average+ARIMA+Time+Series+forecasting YouTube search...] | ||
| + | [http://www.google.com/search?q=Autoregressive+Integrated+Moving+Average+ARIMA+Time+Series+forecasting+Statistical+machine+learning+ML+artificial+intelligence ...Google search] | ||
| + | |||
| + | <youtube>0xHf-SJ9Z9U</youtube> | ||
| + | <youtube>D9y6dcy0xK8</youtube> | ||
| + | |||
| + | === Seasonal Autoregressive Integrated Moving-Average (SARIMA) === | ||
| + | [http://www.youtube.com/results?search_query=Seasonal+Autoregressive+Integrated+Moving+Average+SARIMA+Time+Series+forecasting YouTube search...] | ||
| + | [http://www.google.com/search?q=Autoregressive+Integrated+Moving+Average+SARIMA+Time+Series+forecasting+Statistical+machine+learning+ML+artificial+intelligence ...Google search] | ||
| + | |||
| + | <youtube>WjeGUs6mzXg</youtube> | ||
| + | <youtube>voz3oOvKwG4</youtube> | ||
| + | |||
| + | === Seasonal Autoregressive Integrated Moving-Average with Exogenous Regressors (SARIMAX) === | ||
| + | [http://www.youtube.com/results?search_query=Seasonal+Autoregressive+Integrated+Moving+Average+Exogenous+Regressors+SARIMAX+Time+Series+forecasting YouTube search...] | ||
| + | [http://www.google.com/search?q=Seasonal+Autoregressive+Integrated+Moving+Average+Exogenous+Regressors+SARIMAX+Time+Series+forecasting+Statistical+machine+learning+ML+artificial+intelligence ...Google search] | ||
| + | |||
| + | <youtube>9BdcJisuOkU</youtube> | ||
| + | <youtube>9Kc5vuC48ME</youtube> | ||
| + | |||
| + | === Vector Autoregression (VAR) === | ||
| + | [http://www.youtube.com/results?search_query=Vector+Autoregression+VAR+Time+Series+forecasting YouTube search...] | ||
| + | [http://www.google.com/search?q=Vector+Autoregression+VAR+Time+Series+forecasting+Statistical+machine+learning+ML+artificial+intelligence ...Google search] | ||
| + | |||
| + | <youtube>XK3cEJw93jA</youtube> | ||
| + | <youtube>i40Road82No</youtube> | ||
| + | |||
| + | === Volume Weighted Moving Average (VWMA) === | ||
| + | [http://www.youtube.com/results?search_query=Volume+Weighted+Moving+Average+VWMA+Time+Series+forecasting+machine+learning+ML+artificial+intelligence YouTube search...] | ||
| + | [http://www.google.com/search?q=Volume+Weighted+Moving+Average+VWMA+Time+Series+forecasting+machine+learning+ML+artificial+intelligence ...Google search] | ||
| + | |||
| + | <youtube>FfHrlRQUOTs</youtube> | ||
| + | <youtube>nSzIkkGXDQQ</youtube> | ||
| + | |||
| + | === Vector Autoregression Moving-Average (VARMA) === | ||
| + | [http://www.youtube.com/results?search_query=Vector+Autoregression+Moving+Average+VARMA+Time+Series+forecasting YouTube search...] | ||
| + | [http://www.google.com/search?q=Vector+Autoregression+Moving+Average+VARMA+Time+Series+forecasting+Statistical+machine+learning+ML+artificial+intelligence ...Google search] | ||
| + | |||
| + | <youtube>zn6r2MeM_LE</youtube> | ||
| + | <youtube>bF2Y0sHhd7w</youtube> | ||
| + | |||
| + | === Vector Autoregression Moving-Average with Exogenous Regressors (VARMAX) === | ||
| + | [http://www.youtube.com/results?search_query=Vector+Autoregression+Moving+Average+Exogenous+Regressors+VARMAX+Time+Series+forecasting YouTube search...] | ||
| + | [http://www.google.com/search?q=Vector+Autoregression+Moving+Average+Exogenous+Regressors+VARMAX+Time+Series+forecasting+Statistical+machine+learning+ML+artificial+intelligence ...Google search] | ||
| + | |||
| + | <youtube>WSgpfNdKQWg</youtube> | ||
| + | <youtube>eE7OIKb-Agc</youtube> | ||
| + | |||
| + | = Smoothing = | ||
| + | <youtube>BveOFQhSUXU</youtube> | ||
| + | <youtube>RuomXisQKWc</youtube> | ||
| + | <youtube>Qd5pLB1rSVg</youtube> | ||
| + | <youtube>wQaUEmPtsjI</youtube> | ||
| + | |||
| + | == Simple Exponential Smoothing (SES) == | ||
| + | [http://www.youtube.com/results?search_query=Simple+Exponential+Smoothing+SES+Time+Series+forecasting YouTube search...] | ||
| + | [http://www.google.com/search?q=Simple+Exponential+Smoothing+SES+Time+Series+forecasting+Statistical+machine+learning+ML+artificial+intelligence ...Google search] | ||
| + | |||
| + | <youtube>Fqge2HDH2Co</youtube> | ||
| + | <youtube>_JDJ-UT41ik</youtube> | ||
| + | |||
| + | == Holt's Exponential Smoothing == | ||
| + | [http://www.youtube.com/results?search_query=Holt+Exponential+Smoothing+SES+Time+Series+forecasting YouTube search...] | ||
| + | [http://www.google.com/search?q=Holt+Exponential+Smoothing+SES+Time+Series+forecasting+Statistical+machine+learning+ML+artificial+intelligence ...Google search] | ||
| + | |||
| + | <youtube>DUyZl-abnNM</youtube> | ||
| + | <youtube>lYLCSHk4guc</youtube> | ||
| + | |||
| + | == Winter's (Holt-Winter's) Exponential Smoothing (HWES) == | ||
| + | [http://www.youtube.com/results?search_query=Winter+Exponential+Smoothing+SES+Time+Series+forecasting YouTube search...] | ||
| + | [http://www.google.com/search?q=Winter+Exponential+Smoothing+SES+Time+Series+forecasting+Statistical+machine+learning+ML+artificial+intelligence ...Google search] | ||
| + | |||
| + | <youtube>mrLiC1biciY</youtube> | ||
| + | <youtube>VLlGO_fCdX0</youtube> | ||
| + | |||
| + | = Time Series AutoML = | ||
| + | |||
| + | <youtube>1TtaHGPx7Co</youtube> | ||
| + | <youtube>sr6wmRioQAg</youtube> | ||
| + | |||
| − | |||
= <span id="Time Series Forecasting - Deep Learning"></span>Time Series Forecasting - Deep Learning = | = <span id="Time Series Forecasting - Deep Learning"></span>Time Series Forecasting - Deep Learning = | ||
Revision as of 18:44, 12 September 2020
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Contents
- 1 Time Series Forecasting
- 2 Time Series Forecasting - Statistical
- 2.1 Autoregression (AR)
- 2.2 Moving Average (MA)
- 2.3 Autoregressive Moving Average (ARMA)
- 2.4 Autoregressive Integrated Moving Average (ARIMA)
- 2.5 Seasonal Autoregressive Integrated Moving-Average (SARIMA)
- 2.6 Seasonal Autoregressive Integrated Moving-Average with Exogenous Regressors (SARIMAX)
- 2.7 Vector Autoregression (VAR)
- 2.8 Volume Weighted Moving Average (VWMA)
- 2.9 Vector Autoregression Moving-Average (VARMA)
- 2.10 Vector Autoregression Moving-Average with Exogenous Regressors (VARMAX)
- 3 Smoothing
- 4 Time Series AutoML
- 5 Time Series Forecasting - Deep Learning
- 6 Demand Forecasting
Time Series Forecasting
- How to Tune LSTM Hyperparameters with Keras for Time Series Forecasting | Matt Dancho
- How (not) to use Machine Learning for time series forecasting: Avoiding the pitfalls | Vegard Flovik KDnuggeets
- How (not) to use Machine Learning for time series forecasting: Avoiding the pitfalls | Vegard Flovik - KDnuggets
- Time Series Prediction - 8 Techniques | Siraj Raval
- Amazon Forecast | AWS
- 7 Ways Time-Series Forecasting Differs from Machine Learning | Roman Josue de las Heras Torres
- Finding Patterns and Outcomes in Time Series Data - Hands-On with Python | ViralML.com
- Applying Statistical Modeling and Machine Learning to Perform Time-Series Forecasting | Tamara Louie
- Stationarity in time series analysis | Shay Palachy - Towards Data Science
- [http://www.youtube.com/
Time Series Forecasting - Statistical
Classical time series forecasting methods may be focused on linear relationships, nevertheless, they are sophisticated and perform well on a wide range of problems, assuming that your data is suitably prepared and the method is well configured. 11 Classical Time Series Forecasting Methods in Python (Cheat Sheet) | Jason Brownlee - Machine Learning Mastery
Autoregression (AR)
YouTube search... ...Google search
Moving Average (MA)
YouTube search... ...Google search
Autoregressive Moving Average (ARMA)
YouTube search... ...Google search
Autoregressive Integrated Moving Average (ARIMA)
YouTube search... ...Google search
Seasonal Autoregressive Integrated Moving-Average (SARIMA)
YouTube search... ...Google search
Seasonal Autoregressive Integrated Moving-Average with Exogenous Regressors (SARIMAX)
YouTube search... ...Google search
Vector Autoregression (VAR)
YouTube search... ...Google search
Volume Weighted Moving Average (VWMA)
YouTube search... ...Google search
Vector Autoregression Moving-Average (VARMA)
YouTube search... ...Google search
Vector Autoregression Moving-Average with Exogenous Regressors (VARMAX)
YouTube search... ...Google search
Smoothing
Simple Exponential Smoothing (SES)
YouTube search... ...Google search
Holt's Exponential Smoothing
YouTube search... ...Google search
Winter's (Holt-Winter's) Exponential Smoothing (HWES)
YouTube search... ...Google search
Time Series AutoML
Time Series Forecasting - Deep Learning
Applying deep learning methods like Multilayer Neural Networks and Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) Recurrent Neural Network models to time series forecasting problems.| Jason Brownlee - Machine Learning Mastery
Demand Forecasting
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